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Spectral Causal Identifiability Under Partial and Noisy Observation

Dr. Tamás Nagy Updated 2026-03-16 21:20 Short Draft Quantitative Finance
Unreviewed draft. This paper has not been human-reviewed. Mathematical claims may be unverified. Use with appropriate caution.
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Abstract

Causal identification typically requires rich interventions or full-state observability. We show that partial, noisy observations can still identify causal structure when signals admit a stable spectral decomposition with separation conditions. We derive identifiability criteria in terms of mode observability, spectral gap structure, and noise geometry, and provide constructive recovery guarantees.

Length
1,641 words
Claims
2 theorems
Status
Draft

Novelty

Reframing causal identifiability under partial observation as a spectral problem governed by mode observability and eigenvalue gaps, rather than purely graphical conditions.

Connects To

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